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Field Notes · OpenFEMA · Case file DR-EM-FM

Federal
Disaster
Country

The Stafford Act built a machine for turning places into disasters on paper. Since 1953 it has stamped roughly 70,048 county-area declarations - and a hard core of rural counties keeps coming back, filing the same claim decade after decade, living in near-permanent federal disaster while the pace only quickens.

Declarations per decade, 1950s → 2020s. OpenFEMA.
~70K federal disaster declarations ~5,210 distinct disasters 1953-present Full
Fig. 01 - Exhibit: the federal footprint

The map of the machine

Declarations by state, 1953-present

Darker states have been declared a federal disaster more often. Texas, Oklahoma and Kentucky run the raw count - big, storm-belt states with hundreds of counties, each one its own line on the ledger every time a system crosses. But raw totals just trace the map of America itself. Divide by population and the order inverts: the Dakotas, West Virginia and Vermont, not the coasts, are the places living most permanently under a federal declaration.

Alabama: 1,742 declarations Alaska: 356 declarations Arizona: 347 declarations Colorado: 670 declarations Florida: 2,794 declarations Georgia: 2,768 declarations Indiana: 1,581 declarations Kansas: 1,915 declarations Maine: 1,065 declarations Massachusetts: 415 declarations Minnesota: 1,623 declarations New Jersey: 627 declarations North Carolina: 2,431 declarations North Dakota: 1,423 declarations Oklahoma: 2,593 declarations Pennsylvania: 1,252 declarations South Dakota: 1,472 declarations Texas: 5,391 declarations Wyoming: 136 declarations Connecticut: 266 declarations Missouri: 2,840 declarations West Virginia: 1,336 declarations Illinois: 1,313 declarations New Mexico: 544 declarations Arkansas: 1,824 declarations California: 1,689 declarations Delaware: 55 declarations District of Columbia: 24 declarations Hawaii: 113 declarations Iowa: 1,926 declarations Kentucky: 3,376 declarations Maryland: 471 declarations Michigan: 855 declarations Mississippi: 2,134 declarations Montana: 681 declarations New Hampshire: 320 declarations New York: 1,537 declarations Ohio: 1,292 declarations Oregon: 648 declarations Tennessee: 2,038 declarations Utah: 265 declarations Virginia: 2,756 declarations Washington: 1,084 declarations Wisconsin: 917 declarations Nebraska: 1,595 declarations South Carolina: 1,190 declarations Idaho: 386 declarations Nevada: 289 declarations Vermont: 405 declarations Louisiana: 2,675 declarations Rhode Island: 123 declarations
Full OpenFEMA counts on US Census / us-atlas geometry. The 50 states + DC shown here hold 67,568 of the ~70K total; territories (Puerto Rico and others), which the Albers projection cannot inset, carry the rest. See Methodology.

Adjusted for population

Declarations per 100,000 residents. The order inverts: small, rural, disaster-prone states carry the heaviest federal footprint per person.

  1. North Dakota 181.5 / 100k
  2. South Dakota 160.1 / 100k
  3. Nebraska 80.6 / 100k
  4. Maine 76.3 / 100k
  5. West Virginia 75.5 / 100k
  6. Kentucky 74.6 / 100k
  7. Mississippi 72.6 / 100k
  8. Kansas 65.1 / 100k
Full table - all 50 states and DC
RankStateDeclarationsDisastersPer 100kTop hazard
01 Texas 5,391 388 17.7 Hurricane
02 Kentucky 3,376 98 74.6 Severe Storm
03 Missouri 2,840 86 45.8 Severe Storm
04 Florida 2,794 188 12.4 Hurricane
05 Georgia 2,768 81 25.1 Hurricane
06 Virginia 2,756 77 31.6 Hurricane
07 Louisiana 2,675 111 58.5 Hurricane
08 Oklahoma 2,593 258 64 Severe Storm
09 North Carolina 2,431 85 22.4 Hurricane
10 Mississippi 2,134 98 72.6 Hurricane
11 Tennessee 2,038 97 28.6 Severe Storm
12 Iowa 1,926 78 60.1 Severe Storm
13 Kansas 1,915 94 65.1 Severe Storm
14 Arkansas 1,824 87 59.5 Severe Storm
15 Alabama 1,742 102 34.1 Hurricane
16 California 1,689 395 4.3 Fire
17 Minnesota 1,623 81 28.3 Flood
18 Nebraska 1,595 87 80.6 Severe Storm
19 Indiana 1,581 54 23 Severe Storm
20 New York 1,537 118 7.9 Severe Storm
21 South Dakota 1,472 96 160.1 Severe Storm
22 North Dakota 1,423 75 181.5 Flood
23 West Virginia 1,336 84 75.5 Severe Storm
24 Illinois 1,313 68 10.5 Flood
25 Ohio 1,292 60 11 Severe Storm
26 Pennsylvania 1,252 64 9.7 Flood
27 South Carolina 1,190 51 22.1 Hurricane
28 Washington 1,084 214 13.9 Flood
29 Maine 1,065 71 76.3 Biological (COVID-19)
30 Wisconsin 917 56 15.5 Severe Storm
31 Michigan 855 46 8.5 Snow / Ice Storm
32 Montana 681 112 60.1 Fire
33 Colorado 670 110 11.4 Fire
34 Oregon 648 166 15.3 Severe Storm
35 New Jersey 627 59 6.7 Hurricane
36 New Mexico 544 126 25.7 Fire
37 Maryland 471 38 7.6 Hurricane
38 Massachusetts 415 59 5.9 Hurricane
39 Vermont 405 62 62.6 Severe Storm
40 Idaho 386 60 19.6 Biological (COVID-19)
41 Alaska 356 94 48.5 Biological (COVID-19)
42 Arizona 347 120 4.7 Fire
43 New Hampshire 320 63 22.8 Severe Storm
44 Nevada 289 110 9 Fire
45 Connecticut 266 43 7.4 Hurricane
46 Utah 265 59 7.8 Flood
47 Wyoming 136 45 23.3 Biological (COVID-19)
48 Rhode Island 123 31 11.2 Hurricane
49 Hawaii 113 71 7.9 Fire
50 Delaware 55 26 5.3 Hurricane
51 District of Columbia 24 24 3.5 Severe Storm
Fig. 02 - Exhibit: raw count vs per-person load

Two states, same nation

Declarations vs per 100k

The map tells two stories that never agree. Plot every state by its raw declaration count against its per-capita load and they pull apart into two populations: a low, wide band of big states along the bottom - lots of declarations spread thin across millions of people - and a steep left-hand wall of small rural states carrying enormous federal exposure per resident. Texas and North Dakota sit at opposite corners of the same chart.

0 30 60 90 120 01,0002,0003,0004,0005,000 per 100k total declarations → Kentucky: 3,376 declarations, 74.6 per 100k Missouri: 2,840 declarations, 45.8 per 100k Florida: 2,794 declarations, 12.4 per 100k Georgia: 2,768 declarations, 25.1 per 100k Virginia: 2,756 declarations, 31.6 per 100k Louisiana: 2,675 declarations, 58.5 per 100k Oklahoma: 2,593 declarations, 64 per 100k North Carolina: 2,431 declarations, 22.4 per 100k Mississippi: 2,134 declarations, 72.6 per 100k Tennessee: 2,038 declarations, 28.6 per 100k Iowa: 1,926 declarations, 60.1 per 100k Kansas: 1,915 declarations, 65.1 per 100k Arkansas: 1,824 declarations, 59.5 per 100k Alabama: 1,742 declarations, 34.1 per 100k Minnesota: 1,623 declarations, 28.3 per 100k Nebraska: 1,595 declarations, 80.6 per 100k Indiana: 1,581 declarations, 23 per 100k New York: 1,537 declarations, 7.9 per 100k South Dakota: 1,472 declarations, 160.1 per 100k Illinois: 1,313 declarations, 10.5 per 100k Ohio: 1,292 declarations, 11 per 100k Pennsylvania: 1,252 declarations, 9.7 per 100k South Carolina: 1,190 declarations, 22.1 per 100k Washington: 1,084 declarations, 13.9 per 100k Maine: 1,065 declarations, 76.3 per 100k Wisconsin: 917 declarations, 15.5 per 100k Michigan: 855 declarations, 8.5 per 100k Montana: 681 declarations, 60.1 per 100k Colorado: 670 declarations, 11.4 per 100k Oregon: 648 declarations, 15.3 per 100k New Jersey: 627 declarations, 6.7 per 100k New Mexico: 544 declarations, 25.7 per 100k Maryland: 471 declarations, 7.6 per 100k Massachusetts: 415 declarations, 5.9 per 100k Vermont: 405 declarations, 62.6 per 100k Idaho: 386 declarations, 19.6 per 100k Alaska: 356 declarations, 48.5 per 100k Arizona: 347 declarations, 4.7 per 100k New Hampshire: 320 declarations, 22.8 per 100k Nevada: 289 declarations, 9 per 100k Connecticut: 266 declarations, 7.4 per 100k Utah: 265 declarations, 7.8 per 100k Wyoming: 136 declarations, 23.3 per 100k Rhode Island: 123 declarations, 11.2 per 100k Hawaii: 113 declarations, 7.9 per 100k Delaware: 55 declarations, 5.3 per 100k District of Columbia: 24 declarations, 3.5 per 100k Texas: 5,391 declarations, 17.7 per 100k TX 17.7/100k California: 1,689 declarations, 4.3 per 100k CA 4.3/100k North Dakota: 1,423 declarations, 181.5 per 100k ND 181.5/100k West Virginia: 1,336 declarations, 75.5 per 100k WV 75.5/100k
Each dot is one state. Four extremes are labeled; hover any dot for its figures, or read the full table under Fig. 01. OpenFEMA counts.
Fig. 03 - Exhibit: the accelerating ledger

The curve bends up

By decade, two series

Declarations pile into the recent decades: the 2010s alone logged more area declarations than the entire twentieth century of the program - a roughly 146x jump from the 1950s. But distinct disasters grew only about 13x over the same span. The widening gap is the real finding: a single modern disaster now names far more counties than one did seventy years ago - the ledger grew faster than the weather.

0 5K 10K 15K 20K 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s 2020s 19,000 decl. 1,016 disasters
Counties per disaster climbed from ~1.0 to ~12. Left axis counts area declarations; the right-axis line counts distinct disaster numbers. The 2020s point is a partial, still-open decade. OpenFEMA counts.
Fig. 04 - Exhibit: the repeat filers

The ledger of the returned

Most-declared counties

A disaster declaration is supposed to be exceptional. For these counties it is a standing entry. Each has been named in a distinct federal disaster dozens of times across the 73-year record - Appalachian flood country and the eastern lip of Tornado Alley, declared, rebuilt, and declared again on almost a two-year cycle.

  1. 01
    Statewide CountyTX 103 disasters
    Mostly fire · worst year 1996
  2. 02
    Los Angeles CountyCA 88 disasters
    Mostly fire · worst year 2007
  3. 03
    Riverside CountyCA 66 disasters
    Mostly fire · worst year 2003
  4. 04
    San Bernardino CountyCA 61 disasters
    Mostly fire · worst year 2020
  5. 05
    Collier CountyFL 54 disasters
    Mostly hurricane · worst year 2024
  6. 06
    St. Martin CountyLA 54 disasters
    Mostly hurricane · worst year 2020
  7. 07
    Ventura CountyCA 53 disasters
    Mostly fire · worst year 2018
  8. 08
    Lafourche CountyLA 53 disasters
    Mostly hurricane · worst year 2020
  9. 09
    Terrebonne CountyLA 53 disasters
    Mostly hurricane · worst year 2020
  10. 10
    Chelan CountyWA 52 disasters
    Mostly fire · worst year 2012
  11. 11
    Livingston CountyLA 52 disasters
    Mostly hurricane · worst year 2020
  12. 12
    Oklahoma CountyOK 51 disasters
    Mostly fire · worst year 2011
  13. 13
    San Diego CountyCA 51 disasters
    Mostly fire · worst year 2007
  14. 14
    St. Charles CountyLA 51 disasters
    Mostly hurricane · worst year 2020
  15. 15
    Manatee CountyFL 50 disasters
    Mostly hurricane · worst year 2024
  16. 16
    Jefferson CountyLA 50 disasters
    Mostly hurricane · worst year 2020

Ranked by distinct disasterNumbers naming the county. A single disaster can add many county rows at once; this counts the events, not the paperwork.

Fig. 05 - Exhibit: the disaster calendar

A season for it

Declarations by month

Federal disaster is seasonal work. Declarations cluster into two peaks - the spring and early-summer severe-storm run that alone accounts for about 25% of the year, and the late-summer hurricane window that reaches its own crest in August and September. Between them sits a July lull; on either side, the quiet deep-winter trough.

Jan: 6,111 declarations (8.7%) - Winter trough Jan Feb: 4,955 declarations (7.1%) - Winter trough Feb Mar: 11,140 declarations (15.9%) - Spring ramp Mar Apr: 7,128 declarations (10.2%) - Severe-storm peak Apr May: 5,243 declarations (7.5%) - Severe-storm peak 7.5% May Jun: 5,039 declarations (7.2%) - Severe-storm peak Jun Jul: 5,107 declarations (7.3%) - Summer Jul Aug: 5,849 declarations (8.3%) - Hurricane season 8.3% Aug Sep: 11,721 declarations (16.7%) - Hurricane season Sep Oct: 4,007 declarations (5.7%) - Hurricane season Oct Nov: 1,674 declarations (2.4%) - Autumn decline Nov Dec: 2,074 declarations (3.0%) - Winter trough Dec
Darker months carry more declarations. Two peaks, one calendar: severe storms in spring, hurricanes in late summer. OpenFEMA counts.
  1. Jan 6,111 8.7%
  2. Feb 4,955 7.1%
  3. Mar 11,140 15.9%
  4. Apr 7,128 10.2%
  5. May 5,243 7.5%
  6. Jun 5,039 7.2%
  7. Jul 5,107 7.3%
  8. Aug 5,849 8.3%
  9. Sep 11,721 16.7%
  10. Oct 4,007 5.7%
  11. Nov 1,674 2.4%
  12. Dec 2,074 3.0%
Fig. 06 - Exhibit: the declared hazard

What gets declared

By type & hazard

There are three ways to declare, and one does the heavy lifting: the Major Disaster unlocks the full Stafford Act toolkit and carries most of the count. Underneath the paperwork, the weather is lopsided too - storm-family hazards alone drive about 51% of every declaration on the books.

Three ways to declare
DR 66.3% EM 30.7%
  • DR Major Disaster 46,462 · 66.3% The workhorse: unlocks Individual and Public Assistance when an event overwhelms a state.
  • EM Emergency 21,471 · 30.7% A faster, lighter declaration for imminent threats; the 2020 pandemic response ran through these.
  • FM Fire Management 2,115 · 3.0% Wildfire-specific grants to fight a fire as it burns, not to rebuild after it.
By incident type
  • Severe Storm 19,338 · 27.6%
  • Hurricane 13,858 · 19.8%
  • Flood 11,346 · 16.2%
  • Snow / Ice Storm 8,342 · 11.9%
  • Biological (COVID-19) 7,857 · 11.2%
  • Fire 3,893 · 5.6%
  • Other 1,862 · 2.7%
  • Tornado 1,623 · 2.3%
  • Drought / Freeze 1,292 · 1.8%
  • Coastal Storm 637 · 0.9%

Storm-family hazards (severe storm, hurricane, tornado, coastal) are drawn in signal blue; every hazard also carries its count and share, so color is never the only label. OpenFEMA counts.

Fig. 07 - Exhibit: where the money goes

What a declaration unlocks

Programs, share of all declarations

A declaration is a key, and it opens more than one door. Almost every one turns on Public Assistance - the money that reimburses governments for debris and rebuilding public infrastructure. Far fewer put cash in residents' hands: direct Individual Assistance rides on barely a fifth of declarations. Most federal disaster money rebuilds the public works, not the households.

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Public Assistance: 65,533 declarations (94%) - money for governments PA 94% Hazard Mitigation: 30,021 declarations (43%) - money for governments HM 43% Individual Assistance: 17,187 declarations (25%) - money for residents IA 25% Individuals & Households: 11,791 declarations (17%) - money for residents IH 17%
Flags overlap - a single declaration can unlock several programs, so these shares do not sum to 100%. Each bar is the fraction of all declarations that switched that program on. OpenFEMA counts.
  • PA Public Assistance Governments Reimburses states, counties and towns for debris removal and rebuilding public infrastructure - the program almost every declaration turns on.
  • HM Hazard Mitigation Governments Grants to build back stronger so the next event does less damage; rides along with most major declarations.
  • IA Individual Assistance Residents Direct help to disaster survivors - housing, grants, crisis counseling. Far rarer than public rebuilding money.
  • IH Individuals & Households Residents The housing-and-needs arm of Individual Assistance: repair grants and temporary shelter paid straight to residents.
Fig. 08 - Exhibit: the reordering mix

Not every hazard is rising

Share shift, pre-2000 vs since

Split the record at the millennium and the mix reorders. Severe storms, wildfire and - entirely new - the pandemic's biological declarations take a growing slice. Flooding's share falls by more than ten points, not because there is less flooding but because everything else grew around it. Each rung below runs from a hazard's early-era share to its recent-era share.

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% Biological (COVID-19) +16 pp Hurricane +14 pp Severe Storm +9 pp Other +3 pp Fire +2 pp Coastal Storm +1 pp Snow / Ice Storm -3 pp Tornado -5 pp Drought / Freeze -7 pp Flood -29 pp
pp = percentage points of all declarations. A shrinking share does not mean fewer events - only that the hazard's slice of a much larger total got smaller. OpenFEMA shares.
Cross-reference

Put two states side by side

Compare any two states' declaration profiles - raw count, per-capita load, and the Major / Emergency / Fire split - against the national baseline.

Open the compare tool →
Case notes

Methodology

Notes on the data

The figures on this page derive from OpenFEMA - Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2) (current through 2026), the federal register of every Stafford Act declaration since the program began in 1953. The dataset's grain is one row per designated area - almost always a county, parish or borough - per disaster, which is why a single hurricane can add dozens of "declarations" at once. Throughout, "declarations" counts those area rows and "disasters" counts distinct disaster numbers.

Where the numbers come from

Every figure on this page is counted from the real OpenFEMA bulk file - all 70,048 area declarations, 1953-present, the full DR / EM / FM type split. The state scatter, the decade curve, the disaster calendar, the program shares and the era dumbbell are all direct aggregations of those rows, regenerated by npm run data (scripts/build-data.ts) and read straight from src/data/derived.json; the components never touch raw rows. The seasonal twin-peak, the spring run of declarations and the Public Assistance rate are measured, not assumed. The state geometry on the map is US Census cartographic boundaries via us-atlas; the shading counts are the same OpenFEMA totals.

What you're not seeing

The Albers-USA map insets Alaska and Hawaii but cannot place the territories, so Puerto Rico, the U.S. Virgin Islands, Guam and the other insular areas - which carry a large share of declarations, Puerto Rico especially after Hurricane Maria - are absent from the map and from the 50-states-plus-DC table. The declaration count is also a measure of federal response, not of damage or death: it reflects which events crossed the threshold for a governor's request and a presidential approval, a bar that has shifted over seventy years. A rising count is partly more weather and partly a wider, more granular declaration net. Dollar losses, approvals versus denials, and per-declaration aid are not in this file.


Generated 2026-07-07 19:21 UTC

Source: OpenFEMA - Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2)